Why XRP Price Is Playing Catch-Up Despite | Crypto News
After a strong start to the yr, the XRP price has struggled to construct a sustained bullish momentum throughout 2025. These struggles are highlighted in the altcoin’s downward spiral since hitting the all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025.
The launch of the spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States was anticipated to offer some reduction through elevated demand for the underlying asset’s price. However, the latest on-chain analysis exhibits that the ETFs have failed to cut back the bearish strain on the XRP price.
XRP Price Could Fall To $1.5 If Exchange Inflows Persist
In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, pseudonymous analyst PelinayPA revealed that the exercise of a particular group of XRP whales has been the major driving power behind the regular price decline. The market pundit offered an ETF angle to this whale exercise over the past few weeks.
PelinayPA drew insights from the Exchange Inflow – Value Bands chart, which tracks and types the quantity of a particular cryptocurrency flowing into centralized exchanges by different investor cohorts within a given period. Recent data exhibits that the bulk of inflows are coming from the 100K-1M XRP and 1M+ XRP bands.
PelinayPA wrote in the Quicktake post:
After each major influx spike on the chart, price varieties a decrease high and decrease low construction, clearly exhibiting that provide is overwhelming demand. This occurs because there’s no strong new spot purchaser in the market. Even though whales usually are not aggressively dumping, the continual increase in accessible provide retains pushing the price decrease.
Using the influx depth and price reactions, the crypto analyst posited that the first major help zone stands at around $1.82 – $1.87. According to PelinayPA, this area represents an space with substantial historic shopping for exercise that has provided stability in the past.
However, the XRP price may fall to as low as the $1.50 – $1.60 vary if the exchange inflows from whales continue to climb. As earlier inferred by the analyst, large transfers to centralized exchanges are often seen as a signal of impending promoting strain.
XRP Whales Offloaded Their Holdings When Spot ETFs Went Live
As seen with its predecessors — Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the same XRP exchange-traded merchandise had been anticipated to create institutional demand, main to greater costs for the altcoin. However, the story has been the precise reverse for the XRP price, which is almost 50% down from its all-time high.
Market data exhibits that the US-based spot XRP ETFs haven’t registered a detrimental outflow day since their trading debut in mid-November. According to SoSoValue, the exchange-traded funds have a complete web asset of over $1.14 billion.
Interestingly, PelinayPA hypothesized that the rationale behind XRP’s regular decline is that whales began offloading their holdings on exchanges as the ETF expectations heightened. This offered the sell-side liquidity for the retail buyers who had been trying to buy the ETF launch news.
PelinayPA said that this prevalence explains why the XRP price faces promoting strain each time it approaches the $1.95 degree. The market analyst famous that the exchange inflows would first need to dry up if the altcoin is to see a bullish run anytime soon.
As of this writing, the price of XRP stands at around $1.90, reflecting an over 3% soar in the past 24 hours.
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