Bitcoin ‘Absolute Bottom’ Next? Analyst Says BTC’s | Crypto News
As Bitcoin (BTC) retests a essential stage after breaking down of a bearish sample, an analyst has instructed that the flagship crypto’s closing correction before the next bull market might start in the approaching days.
Start Of ‘Final Washout’ Is Days Away
In a Monday analysis, market observer Ali Martinez affirmed that Bitcoin’s closing leg down before the next bull run could possibly be around the nook based on the flagship crypto’s past cycle’s habits.
The analyst explained that traditionally, the crossover between BTC’s 50 and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) has marked the “‘absolute bottom’ of every major cycle since 2014.”
Over the past 12 years, whenever these two strains crossed on the three-day chart, it has persistently signaled the start of the “final washout” before the next bull market begins. In 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin had already declined by 50%-72% from its cycle peaks when the 50- and 200-SMAs crossed.
23-33 days after the crossover, the cryptocurrency continued its correction, retracing another 45%-52% before bottoming. In 2022, “another lower low formed 156 days later, completing the bear structure and opening the door for the next bull market.”
Now, Bitcoin has already seen a 52% correction from its October 2025 peak, while the SMAs crossed over on February 27. “As of today, we are exactly 30 days into this signal,” the analyst detailed, including that “If history ‘rhymes,’ we are likely entering the Final Accumulation Window of this cycle within the next 3 to 6 days.”
Martinez famous that while the ultimate leg down could possibly be intimidating, historical past has shown that the crossover is the “Golden Opportunity” for long-term traders. Based on its 40%-50% “resets,” the analyst instructed two main accumulation zones: the $40,000 and $30,000 ranges.
Structurally, this setup has traditionally aligned with the last major draw back transfer before a generational macro backside kinds. (…) The countdown to the next vertical transfer has begun.
Bitcoin Bear Flag Breakdown Confirmed?
After closing the week around the $66,000 mark, Bitcoin has surged to the $67,000-$68,000 space to retest a essential stage from below. The flagship crypto has been trading between $62,000-$74,000 for practically two months, developing a bearish formation during this period.
Notably, BTC has fashioned a bearish flag sample on the daily timeframe, retesting the formation’s decrease and higher boundaries a number of occasions since early February. Following last week’s correction, the cryptocurrency retraced over 10% from its current highs to a four-week low of $65,000 on Sunday.
Amid this efficiency, Bitcoin misplaced the decrease boundary of its bear flag formation, risking a second leg down toward decrease ranges. Analyst Crypto Jelle famous that the cryptocurrency is at the moment retesting the formation from below after today’s bounce, which might verify that the sample’s help has turned into resistance if BTC price is rejected.
In addition, the market watcher identified that the cryptocurrency’s bear market lows have traditionally fashioned below the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement ranges, which might place BTC’s backside below the $57,000 space. “Is this time different? Doubt it,” Jelle concluded.
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