Bitcoin’s Record Red Month May Be Setting Up A | Crypto News
The Bitcoin price motion has taken a grim tone this month as trading rolls toward what might turn into a fifth straight purple month-to-month candle. According to CoinGlass, BTC is down roughly 15% this month after closing the earlier 4 months decrease, a run not seen since 2018.
Reports word that comparable multimonth selloffs in the past had been sometimes adopted by sudden, strong rebounds, but those outcomes weren’t automated. Traders are watching assist close to current lows while sentiment indicators show rising warning among both retail and institutional gamers.
Historical Streaks And Reversals
Reports from Milk Road level to a putting instance: after a long shedding streak in 2018/19, the market produced large good points in the months that adopted. That episode is often referenced by bulls who argue that compressed costs can set the stage for big share strikes to the upside. Yet context issues. Market cycles are messy, and uncooked share comparisons skip over variations in liquidity, participant combine, and macro settings.
Weekly And Quarterly Signals
Weekly charts are shouting warning in some corners. Analyst Solana Sensei highlighted a run of purple weekly candles that echoes elements of 2022, when prolonged promoting drove BTC to the mid-$20,000s. At the same time, quarterly data from the 2022 drawdown reveals losses can stack up for long stretches, and those patterns had been painful for holders who anticipated fast turns.
Some analysts have argued that the current cycle seems to be different because the month-to-month RSI never noticed the same overbought enlargement that preceded some prior bear phases; their view suggests rebounds won’t comply with the outdated script.
$BTC is trying to log its fifth purple month.
Last time this occurred was in 2018/19 when we noticed 6 purple months.
Silver lining: it led to a reversal w/ 316% returns over the next 5 months.
If historical past repeats – the reversal begins April 1st.
Bookmark this. pic.twitter.com/IZwmdg0peV
— Milk Road (@MilkRoad) February 18, 2026
Bitcoin Price Action
The top crypto’s price motion has been blended: skinny periods, sharp swings on headlines, muted quantity between strikes. The market has been both brittle and sometimes regular, relying on who is trading and where liquidity swimming pools sit.
Geopolitics And Market Mood
Geopolitical flareups have acted as a volatility amplifier, and merchants are pricing in headline risk more readily than before. Events tied to insurance policies or public feedback have dented confidence across risk belongings.
US coverage shifts and high-profile political statements — including ones linked to US President Donald Trump — are being watched for any spillover into greenback flows and investor risk tolerance. Thin market circumstances can flip small news into big strikes. That’s precisely what’s been occurring on event over the last few weeks.
Based on stories and the combo of indicators, a rebound in March or April is feasible, but it can’t be counted on. Some merchants will put together for a fast bounce; others will keep dry powder and wait for clearer affirmation.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
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