NFL Week 14 predictions, best bets: Picks against…
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It’s week 14 in the NFL, and with the Giants at 2-11 and Jets at 3-9, it’s already draft season in the East (*14*).
Let’s not get too deep into the query of whether or not the Jets ought to tank for Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza, because they’re not doing that.
(As an early apart, we don’t actually even know yet if Mendoza will end up being “The Guy.” There’s still a showdown with Ohio State on Saturday, the complete College Football Playoff, and all of the pre-draft hype and advertising and marketing).
The Jets have received two in a row to drop below the anticipated Mendoza line, and any more success would trigger them to have to commerce approach an excessive amount of of the haul they just acquired for Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams.
You can also make the case that it might be better for the Jets to construct their staff out a little more and add the QB of the future next yr, when they’ve three No. 1 picks. If Oregon’s Dante Moore and/or Alabama’s Ty Simpson keep on campus, the 2027 draft might be chock-full of quarterbacks.
It could possibly be instructive that the current holders of the top two picks — the Titans and Giants — drafted quarterbacks into unhealthy groups and already have fired their head coaches. Cam Ward (first) and Jaxson Dart (twenty fifth) might still end up being cornerstone gamers, but their groups stay in horrible form.
If I’m Darren Mougey and Aaron Glenn, I look for a home-run hitter at huge receiver and keep building the wall on the offensive line. Whenever the new quarterback arrives, he’d be geared up to succeed. I’d also commerce down a few instances to add picks in the third and fourth rounds. This is how Glenn might be ready to construct the protection he desires with “his guys.”
As for Sunday’s sport against the Dolphins at MetLife Stadium, I believe the tank followers will get to keep grousing. The Jets have risen to seventh in speeding yards per sport while the Dolphins are twenty ninth in speeding yards allowed. The Jets particular groups also might continue to make a distinction. Now, if they might only drive a turnover or two on protection …
Oh, and enjoyable fact: Guess which staff is the best against the unfold in the AFC. It’s the Jets at 8-4.
The choose: Jets +3.
Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens. AP
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6) over Pittsburgh Steelers
One week, the Steelers protection provides up three landing passes to Caleb Williams in a 31-28 loss at the Bears. The next, 249 speeding yards in a 26-7 home trampling by the Bills. Not what you need with Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson forward. Aaron Rodgers is also dealing with a fractured wrist and mangled nostril.
Seattle Seahawks (-7) over ATLANTA FALCONS
Both groups are in the top 4 in sacks. I trust Sam Darnold to deal with the stress a little better than Kirk Cousins. It’s a lot of factors to give on the highway, and the Falcons can still be harmful, but if you just like the Seahawks to win, you may as effectively lay the quantity. Seven of their 9 wins have been by eight factors or more.
Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) over BUFFALO BILLS
The Bengals have a few additional days after their beautiful Thursday rout in Baltimore. The climate forecast is in the Bills’ favor — 29 levels with a few snow showers. Hoping this great Joe Burrow-Josh Allen QB matchup delivers a close sport.
Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett smiles as he stands at the road of scrimmage in the second half of an NFL soccer sport against the Baltimore Ravens in Cleveland, Sunday, Nov. 16, 2025. AP
CLEVELAND BROWNS (-4) over Tennessee Titans
The Titans rank thirty second in yards per sport and factors per sport. Myles Garrett’s entrance garden is one of the last locations they’d like to be, notably with temperatures dropping into the 20s. All but one of the Titans’ 11 loses have been by six factors or more.
Washington Commanders (+2) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS
After back-to-back time beyond regulation losses to the Dolphins and Broncos to run their dropping streak to seven video games, the Commanders are prepared to win one. Terry McLaurin makes all the distinction. Keep an eye on the injury news as both Jayden Daniels and J.J. McCarthy are trying to return.
Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Commanders celebrates a landing reception against the Denver Broncos during time beyond regulation at Northwest Stadium on November 30, 2025 in Landover, Maryland. Getty Images
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-8.5) over New Orleans Saints
The Bucs ought to just hold a “Questionable” signal on Raymond James Stadium, given all of the top gamers on offense who may or won’t play Sunday. The protection, however, is undamaged, and New Orleans is averaging just 13.5 ppg in Tyler Shough’s 4 begins.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+1.5) over Indianapolis Colts
The groups are tied at 8-4 atop the AFC South with the Texans on their heels. The Colts’ document breaks down to 6-1 home/impartial and just 2-3 on the highway. The Jags are 4-2 at home. Daniel Jones is enjoying on a damaged leg and Sauce Gardner (calf) is uncertain for Indianapolis.
Bo Nix #10 of the Denver Broncos carries the ball during the second half of an NFL soccer sport against the Las Vegas Raiders at Empower Field At Mile High on November 06, 2025 in Denver, Colorado. Getty Images
Denver Broncos (-7.5) over LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Surprised this unfold is so low for a 10-2 vs. 2-10 matchup. Maybe it’s because the Raiders coated in a 10-7 loss at Denver on Nov. 6. The Raiders are finished until the draft social gathering, as I see it. And now Geno Smith is dealing with a foot injury. Any loss of mobility could be essential against the swarming Denver protection. This could possibly be a likelihood for Courtland Sutton and Evan Engram to flex a little.
Chicago Bears (+6.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS
I’ve seen some Packers backers level to the Bears plus-17 turnover differential as one thing that’s unsustainable. Keeping an eye on this phenomenon over the years, my sense (without any official statistics) is that the big takeaway groups can keep doing it throughout the season before it turns into a regression level the next yr.
The Lambeau after-dark climate can have a real really feel of around zero levels, but I don’t see that as a lot of an edge for the Pack against another cold-weather staff.
Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) calls a play during the fourth quarter against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. IMAGN IMAGES via GWN Connect
Los Angeles Rams (-8) over ARIZONA CARDINALS
Unlike Broncos-Raiders, this line strikes as a little high for a 9-3 staff at a 3-9. The Cardinals did cowl a +4 last week at Tampa Bay. Happy to back the Rams off a loss. Since Oct. 12, 5 of their six wins have been by 14 factors or more, so that takes some of the trepidation away from this quantity.
Houston Texans (+3.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Keeping an eye on injury news for the suitable aspect of the Chiefs offensive line, where there are questions about Trey Smith and Jawaan Taylor. If they’re out or compromised, Patrick Mahomes might be trying at a face full of Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr., as the Texans protection ranks No. 1 in the NFL in yards and factors allowed per sport. Anderson also received’t neglect the laughable roughing the passer called on him in last season’s playoff sport at Arrowhead.
Betting on the NFL?
Monday
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) over LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
The Eagles offense isn’t utterly damaged. A.J. Brown has 242 receiving yards in the past two video games, both losses. This choose is mainly constructed on the defending champs circling the wagons for a Monday night time highway sport in which they may have the gang benefit. That might spur them on. Also, Justin Herbert had surgical procedure Monday to insert a plate and screws into his non-throwing hand. He’s making ready to play, but that can’t really feel good. And three of the Chargers’ 4 losses have been by 14 factors or more.
BEST BETS: Broncos, Browns, Commanders.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: Broncos (Locks 5-8 in 2025).
LAST WEEK: 9-6-1 total, 2-1 Best Bets.
THURSDAY: Cowboys.
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