Tech stocks shake off panic over AI doomsday scenario where unemployment hits 10% | Latest Tech News
Tech stocks clawed back losses from a day-earlier rout over a viral research report that warned of a dystopian future in which artificial intelligence causes unemployment to surge above 10%.
After promoting off earlier in the week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index surged more than 250 factors in noon trading Wednesday. The broad-based S&P 500 was up about 50 factors, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average also rose about 250 factors.
Those good points had been comparable to a day earlier after the Dow dropped more than 800 factors on Monday following a 7,000-word essay, printed on Sunday and billed by Citrini Research as a hypothetical “scenario” about the “fallout of the Global Intelligence Crisis.”
Citrini Research’s essay on a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis” shortly went viral.
The report envisions a future in which AI has prompted mass layoffs and a 38% plunge in the S&P 500 by June 2028.
While the AI doomsday prediction clearly struck a nerve with traders, a number of distinguished economists and corporations dismissed it as nothing more than conjecture.
Pierre Yared, the appearing chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said Citrini’s paper was “an interesting piece of science fiction.”
“I think that if you really look at it, and think long and hard about it, it violates some of the basic accounting in economics,” Yared said, according to Bloomberg.
Elsewhere, Citadel Securities argued that there may be little evidence in current data to recommend that AI developments will crush the labor market.
In the past, “successive waves of technological change have not produced runaway exponential growth, nor have they rendered labor obsolete,” Citadel’s Frank Flight wrote in a be aware to traders.
Tech stocks promote off earlier this week after Citrini’s essay was printed. Getty Images
In Citrini’s nightmare scenario, white-collar employees are hit particularly exhausting as they “lost jobs to machines and were forced into lower-paying roles,” main to a wave of mortgage and private-equity loan defaults that acuse the financial system to crumble.
“This isn’t bear [market] porn or AI doomer fan-fiction,” Citrini wrote. “The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that’s been relatively underexplored.”
AI chip provider Nvidia, a essential bellwether for the tech sector, is set to report earnings after the bell.
Even with Citrini’s caveat, the essay helped fuel an undercurrent of panic on Wall Street, which has grown more and more involved about the sky-high prices of AI development and whether or not the assorted personal equity corporations with bets in the sector will ever see a return on their investment.
“AI capabilities improved, companies needed fewer workers, white collar layoffs increased, displaced workers spent less, margin pressure pushed firms to invest more in AI, AI capabilities improved,” the essay said.
Investors have been nervous that AI spending will trigger a market downturn. DC Studio – stock.adobe.com
“It was a negative feedback loop with no natural brake. The human intelligence displacement spiral,” it added.
However, a number of distinguished tech CEOs have also warned that AI was seemingly to drive some upheaval in the job market.
Anthropic boss Dario Amodei warned last yr that in the worst case scenario, unemployment may swell to 20%, with white-collar jobs in tech, finance and law hit particularly exhausting.
In January, Palantir CEO Alex Karp said AI “will destroy” jobs in the humanities while boosting vocational profession paths that are sometimes categorized as blue-collar.
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