XRP Price Retests Decade-Old Trendline That | Crypto News
The XRP price returned to a technical stage that, traditionally, has outlined some of its most explosive rallies. After enduring a sharp 62% correction that culminated in a drop toward $1.10 on February 6, the token is once again testing its long-term ascending help trendline.
Amid this, the broader crypto market has shown indicators of recovery this week, offering some aid. On Wednesday, the XRP price rebounded roughly 6%, while Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back above the vital $70,000 stage, restoring a measure of optimism across risk property despite ongoing global tensions.
Historic XRP Price Support
In a Wednesday report, market analyst Sam Daodu identified that the XRP price is sitting on the same rising trendline that has traditionally preceded dramatic upside strikes — including a 630% rally in 2024 and an extraordinary surge of more than 60,000% in 2017.
What makes this retest different, Daodu famous, is that it’s taking place for the first time with a absolutely established spot XRP Exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it.
Since their launch in November 2025, US spot XRP exchange-traded funds have attracted $1.24 billion in cumulative inflows over 4 consecutive constructive months. Approximately 797 million XRP are now held in ETF custody.
At the same time, institutional wallets accrued an extra 170 million XRP during the most latest price dip. Ripple also re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow on March 1, sustaining its customary release cycle and limiting new provide from coming into the market.
March seasonality provides another layer to the setup. Over the past 12 years, XRP has delivered an average return of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest month of the first quarter.
$4 Target Emerges
From a technical standpoint, the $1.27 stage represents the first space of help to monitor. It aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement stage and has served as a bear market flooring throughout the correction.
Below that, the $1.10–$1.11 zone marks the exact location of the long-term ascending trendline that held in February. A decisive break beneath $1.10 would symbolize the first failure of this channel since 2015 and might expose the XRP price to a deeper pullback toward $0.85–$1.00.
On the upside, $1.47 stands as the closest Fibonacci resistance, adopted carefully by the $1.50 neckline of the double backside. A sustained close above $1.50 would affirm the sample and project a transfer toward $1.68–$1.70.
Beyond that vary, on-chain data reveals roughly 1.85 billion XRP accrued between $1.76 and $1.80, a zone where holders could look to exit at breakeven, probably creating substantial resistance.
The most important provide cluster lies between $2.40 and $2.60; a weekly close above that band would invalidate the broader descending construction and signal a more decisive pattern reversal.
Combining historic March strength, capitulation indicators, and structural provide constraints, Daodu suggests the XRP price might probably attain a vary between $2.50 and $4.00 by late 2026.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
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