House Redistricting Strategery – the Endgame? – | Political News
The conservative majority of the Supreme Court regarded around, and all they noticed have been Democrats gerrymandering congressional districts based on race to maximize the quantity of Democrat-held U.S. House seats. And they wept for our nation. So, Justice Sam Alito, my previous buddy from my Senate Judiciary Committee days, gave his 5 comrades advice on how to deal with the complete degraded system:
“I say we take off and nuke the site from orbit. It’s the only way to be sure.”
Despite Justice Elena Kagan’s whining complaints, which could be seen right here, that is strictly what the Court did.
As Redstate has reported:
The U.S. Supreme Court on Wednesday struck down Louisiana’s congressional map in Louisiana v. Callais, discovering that the state’s second majority-Black district violated the Equal Protection Clause. In the 6-3 choice, Justice Samuel Alito wrote the majority opinion, joined by Chief Justice John Roberts and Justices Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
Soon after, the U.S. Justice Department vowed it might implement the ruling in every state with racially gerrymandered districts.
READ MORE: Trump DOJ Vows to Enforce SCOTUS Ban on Racial Gerrymandering Nationwide—Obama Hardest Hit
This is great news. The Callais choice impacts a lot of the South. The Court significantly restricted racial gerrymandering, such as what occurred in Louisiana, by limiting – but not eliminating – the use of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act to require the creation of a majority-minority district. As a revered conservative legal skilled has opined:
(The Voting Rights Act) might have addressed points that have been still live when it handed in 1965, but for virtually all of its historical past it has been a thumb on the scale for the benefit of the Democratic Party. The prevailing precept appeared to be that gerrymandering by Democrats was legal, while gerrymandering by Republicans was unlawful. But the Supreme Court has chipped away at the baleful results of the Voting Rights Act, and today’s choice was another step ahead.
This choice definitely has nuked the Democrats’ plans — and racial gerrymandering — from orbit. Of course, it also led to an over-the-top response. Democrat House Leader Hakeem Jeffries (NY-08) denounced the Supreme Court as “illegitimate” and complained that this was a GOP plan to “rig the midterm elections.”
Callais will virtually definitely have an effect on the battle for control over the U.S. House in 2026. Here is what the Southern states are doing:
- Louisiana: Louisiana postponed the House primaries initially set for May 16 so the state can re-draw their map for the 2026 midterms. The only query is whether or not the Republican state will goal one or two of the Democrat districts. District 6, represented by Rep. Cleo Fields, is a goner, as this ridiculously gerrymandered district was struck down. Interestingly, this will probably be the second time that Rep. Fields has seen his district overruled for racial gerrymandering; the last time it was in 1996. But District 2, which is more compact and contains New Orleans, is more probably to survive.
- Alabama: Alabama will not be redistricting, because the state has its own judicial appeal that has not been determined. The Supreme Court might resolve to reverse an earlier decrease court choice that pressured Alabama to create its second black majority district, or it might go additional, and both black majority Democrat-held districts might go.
- Florida: Florida had already acted to redistrict its delegation, which might shift 4 more House districts to the GOP. In fact, Gov. DeSantis’ plan anticipated Callais and unwound the 20th district that was racially gerrymandered.
- Georgia: Republican Gov. Brian Kemp has said that the Callais ruling won’t influence the 2026 midterm, but that modifications will probably be coming in 2028. If the GOP desires to, it might cut back the five-seat Democrat delegation to just three members.
- Mississippi: The Republican governor of Mississippi had already called for a particular legislative session to redistrict in anticipation of Callais, but that was centered on State Supreme Court districts. Other major GOP gamers in the state also need to go after Rep. Bennie Thompson (MS-02), the lone Democrat in the House delegation whose seat was initially created by Section 2. Even if this is finished, however, it’s unclear if the change might happen by 2026.
- Missouri: The GOP already took out one majority-black Democrat seat that was not protected by Section 2, but they may theoretically revise that plan again to take away the other Democrat seat that was protected. But this could also be powerful for 2026, as submitting for Missouri’s August primaries has closed, which means any attempt to redraw boundaries again would face hurdles. However, there may very well be more new maps drawn in time for 2028.
- South Carolina: Following the choice, a number of Republican candidates for governor called for a new map to oust the lone Democrat in the House delegation, former House Majority Whip and longtime political boss Jim Clyburn (SC-06). But the GOP institution appears to be opposed, and in prior redistrictings, they cooperated with Clyburn.
- Tennessee: Republican U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn, the favourite for Tennessee governor in 2026, has called for redistricting, as has President Trump, both publicly on Truth Social and in his non-public dialog with current Gov. Bill Lee. The state legislature is prepared. The GOP can be focusing on the Memphis-based 9th district. This district, although black majority, is represented by a long-time white Democrat incumbent, and sarcastically, if it’s revamped, it might empower a black Republican.
In response to these GOP strikes, Democrats have mentioned diluting majority-minority districts in their own Democrat-controlled states to help draw more Democrat seats. But the drawback they face is that “Black, Hispanic and Asian American voters who represent a large chunk of the Democratic base may not be eager for their party’s leaders to dismantle majority-minority seats.”
All that stays for the House image is the closing choice by the Virginia Supreme Court on whether or not the unconstitutional and unlawful Democrat redistricting in Virginia might proceed. My former boss, Ken Cuccinelli, is optimistic about that choice.
Me, not so a lot. But “We’ll (Just Have to) See What Happens.”
Editor’s Note: The 2026 Midterms will decide the destiny of President Trump’s America First agenda. Republicans must preserve control of both chambers of Congress.
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