Dems May End Up Kicking Themselves With What the

Democrats voted, just barely, to make Abdul El-Sayed their Democrat nominee for the Senate from Michigan. 

They might have voted for Rep. Haley Stevens (MI-11), who is still fairly left, but voting for El-Sayed reveals how off the rails a lot of the Democrats are.

That said, there are still a lot of Democrats who are usually not shopping for what El-Sayed is promoting. 

🚨 UPDATE: Democrat voters in Michigan are JUMPING SHIP, saying they’ll NOT vote for “Abdul” El Sayed — a socialist

“I will not vote Democrat. I’LL SWITCH OVER!”

Another voter: “I am VERY concerned about the socialist aspect of Abdul…I’m a liberal, NOT a socialist.”

WOW! pic.twitter.com/riJx2ZYkUn

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 5, 2026

Even MS NOW had to acknowledge they have been listening to from Democrats who have been going to vote for Rogers because El-Sayed received. 

🚨 WOW! MSNOW is now PANICKING after Democrat voters told her they’re voting Mike Rogers (R) because Abdul El Sayed (D) grew to become the MI Senate nominee

“Some Democrats I’ve talked to…on the plane this morning a guy said to me, ‘I’m anxious…’ he said, ‘I voted for Haley… https://t.co/MweVr8G4bb pic.twitter.com/iuEXdhiAyL

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 5, 2026

As my colleague Sister Toldjah reported:

The Manhattan Institute’s Jesse Arm noticed that “We’ve seen data that suggests large numbers of Stevens voters wouldn’t essentially help El-Sayed over Rogers in November.” He urged the Rogers marketing campaign to capitalize on it, predicting that if they did, “There’ll be heaps of Democrats for Rogers. Probably more than any Michigan GOP Senate candidate has had since Spencer Abraham.”

Now that’s going to have an affect. There hasn’t been a Republican U.S. senator from Michigan in 26 years. The probabilities on that reversing just went up. Democrats can look at Mike Rogers’ report since he was a U.S. consultant, and they know he is not an extremist. 

GWN’s chief data analyst Harry Enten identified another downside that El-Sayed had: in the major, the locations he ran up the numbers have been white school areas. He was not doing nicely in black and working-class areas. 

GWN: Abdul El-Sayed “did very poorly” with working-class and African American voters, and “really just” ran up the rating in school cities. pic.twitter.com/MQJ40T46QW

— OSZ (@OpenSourceZone) August 5, 2026

Listen as Enten explains that now, the likelihood of Democrats profitable has dropped dramatically “into Lake Michigan.” 

Dems’ probabilities in Mich Senate are down dramatically since earlier this yr.

On Tuesday, El-Sayed confirmed little working class appeal (e.g. misplaced all 15 counties with lowest % of coll. levels).

The big polling miss makes me surprise: will basic election polls overestimate him? pic.twitter.com/wlSK6R6Ffy

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) August 6, 2026

While El-Sayed still had an edge, there have been a lot more questions. As Enten explained, “On Tuesday, El-Sayed showed little working-class appeal (e.g., lost all 15 counties with lowest percentage of college degrees).” 

That wasn’t the only fear. As Enten famous, the polling messed up and overestimated El-Sayed by about 10 factors. Now the polling with Mike Rogers is tight. If they’re still overestimating El-Sayed, he might be in big bother. 

Decision Desk Headquarters (DDHQ) has now modified it from a “lean Democrat” race to a “toss-up.” 

DDHQ rankings change

US Senate Michigan 2026

Lean D—>Toss-up pic.twitter.com/vNQtWXTA1V

— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) August 6, 2026

The Economist even went a step additional, saying the odds have been now with Mike Rogers. 

🚨 NOW – MICHIGAN 2026 SENATE FORECAST, The Economist:

Odds of victory [shift from before the primary]:
🔴 Mike Rogers: 52% [+5.8]
🔵 Abdul El Sayed: 48% [-5.8]
✅ Net shift of 11.6 factors for Rogers

Vote share:
🔴 Mike Rogers: 50.2% (+0.4)
🔵 Abdul El Sayed: 49.8%

MAKE IT… pic.twitter.com/MsixE69ONV

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 6, 2026

So that’s all trying good for Rogers and the Republicans. 

Editor’s Note: The 2026 Midterms will decide the destiny of President Trump’s America First agenda. Republicans must keep control of both chambers of Congress.

Help RedState continue to report on the Democrats’ radicalism and inform voters as our nation faces a crossroads. Join RedState VIP and use promo code FIGHT to obtain 60% off your membership.