NFL Week 3 odds, picks, best bet…
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A pair of 1-1 AFC groups collide Sunday, as the Patriots take on the Jaguars in Duval County.
Last week, both groups had a story of two halves.
(*3*)Drake Maye and New England bought back to fundamentals, beating the Steelers 20-3 in Foxborough behind their stout protection.
Meanwhile, Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville blew a 10-point lead in the second half, dropping to the Broncos 20-13 on the highway.
DraftKings has the Jags as slim 2.5-point favorites in a matchup between last season’s Coach of the Year, Mike Vrabel, and runner-up Liam Coen.
Patriots vs. Jaguars prediction, best bet
This sport is appointment viewing, as both groups are coming off dream turnaround seasons and heightened expectations in this 12 months’s AFC gauntlet.
In Week 2, the weather of New England’s protection that made them a Super Bowl consultant had been on full show.
The inside duo of Milton Williams and Christian Barmore seized the day, with Barmore accounting for a strip-sack and rating in the fourth quarter to shut the door on Pittsburgh.
Aaron Rodgers of the Pittsburgh Steelers fumbles the ball against Christian Barmore (90) of the New England Patriots. Getty Images
This is significant, given that the Jaguars’ offensive line struggled in Week 2 to defend Lawrence against the Broncos and entered Week 3 ranked twenty seventh general, according to Pro Football Focus.
Coen would love to give Lawrence some additional time in the pocket, and when he drops back, he’s trying for Parker Washington, who’s burst onto the scene as the Jags’ WR1, outproducing Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers of late.
Washington doubtless attracts Christian Gonzalez, one of the league’s hardest matchups (just ask DK Metcalf).
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Right now, the Patriots have a defensive benefit, and while Maye hasn’t yet channeled his 2025 model, TreVeyon Henderson’s reintroduction in the backfield benefited the Patriots’ offense last week.
Expect Josh McDaniels to dial up some read-option performs to create open space for Maye against Anthony Campanile’s cover-6 protection, opening the door for a play on his dashing complete.
Romeo Doubs also rebounded in Week 2, hauling in three passes for 96 yards, and Hunter Henry continues to present a reliable goal at tight end.
Playing in Duval County is no stroll in the park, and Coen boasts an unbeaten 5-0 document against the unfold as a home favourite.
Even so, a fiery New England defensive unit ought to keep Lawrence and Co. on their heels.
The Play: Patriots +3 (-118, DraftKings) | Drake Maye Over 24.5 dashing yards (58 p.c, Polymarket)
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