Patriots vs. Ravens prediction: NFL Week 16…
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A vital AFC showdown caps off today’s slate of video games as the Baltimore Ravens’ playoff pursuit continues at home against the New England Patriots on “Sunday Night Football.”
The Ravens’ (7-7) protection pitched a shutout over the Bengals in Week 15, and Lamar Jackson tossed a pair of landing passes, ensuing in a 24-0 win.
Mike Vrabel and the Patriots (11-3) held a 24-7 halftime lead over Buffalo at home. However, they left the backdoor open ajar, and the Bills rallied, scoring 28 second-half factors to secure a gorgeous 35-31 victory.
(*16*) are cautious of the Patriots’ collapse, as the Ravens enter three-point favorites at home in this primetime conflict.
Patriots vs. Ravens odds, best guess
Week 15 was forgettable for Drake Maye and the Patriots, as their 10-game profitable streak was snapped, and their hopes of clinching their first division title since 2019 had been put on maintain.
It was merely a story of two halves.
Maye scrambled for two dashing touchdowns, TreVeyon Henderson broke free for a pair of highlight-worthy 52-yard and 65-yard landing runs, but New England’s protection couldn’t stop visitors in quarters three and 4.
Despite working in two scores, Maye was sacked 3 times, didn’t report a passing landing, and threw his seventh interception of the season. He had just 155 passing yards, a season-low, and outdoors of Mack Hollins, no other Patriots receiver made a appreciable influence.
If the Patriots need to keep their 7-0 highway report unblemished, they’ll need more from pass-catchers Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry.
Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has 23 passing touchdowns on the season. David Butler II-Imagn Images
Escaping the pocket is a strength for Maye, but the Ravens’ protection does a respectable job against quarterbacks, limiting opposing signal-callers to just 3.4 yards per carry.
After rating in the underside three in factors allowed for most of the season, the return of Roquan Smith, Kyle Hamilton, and Marlon Humphrey has improved the Ravens’ opponent factors per sport mark to a respectable 22.9.
Baltimore’s offense is also starting to show glimpses of its outdated self.
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Derrick Henry faces his former coach and a spiraling Patriots run protection that has allowed 133.8 yards over its past three video games. The workhorse back recorded his fifth outing of 100-plus yards dashing in Week 15 against the Bengals.
That’s unhealthy news for a New England rush coverage that was slashed by James Cook and his three-touchdown, 107-yard efficiency. Since Week 10, Vrabel’s group has dropped from third to twenty ninth in rush EPA.
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens will probably be rooting for the Lions to beat Pittsburgh to increase their playoff probabilities. Katie Stratman-Imagn Images
Jackson is turning into cell again after some injury points. The two-time MVP has recorded 25 dashing yards or more in his last three video games under middle. Zay Flowers is closing in on 1,000 yards receiving, while Mark Andrews and Isiah Likely cut up tight end reps, each getting weekly probabilities to rating with purple zone targets.
I count on a fast start for both groups, with the Patriots hungry to erase last week’s letdown to Buffalo and Baltimore poised after shutting down Joe Burrow on the highway.
Target a first quarter over of 9.5 factors mixed, New England averages 6.7 first quarter factors per sport, a whole that is second-best in the NFL behind the Los Angeles Rams.
The Ravens will also unleash Henry at all prices to take a look at the Pats’ run coverage, creating some early scoring alternatives. They need to win out and hope for a few Steelers’ losses in the interim for an AFC playoff berth.
The Plays: Total 1st Quarter Points 9.5 Over (-120, DraftKings) + Derrick Henry to report 75 dashing yards or more (-165, BetMGM)
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