These 3 Signals Mark Bear Market Exits—Bitcoin Has | Crypto News
Bitcoin is still far from triggering the three alerts that have traditionally appeared at the end of bear markets, according to analyst Willy Woo.
Bitcoin Is Still Trading Far Below The Cost Basis Of Recent Investors
In a new post on X, analyst Willy Woo has listed the three issues that have a tendency to occur at the end of (*3*)bear markets. The first signal is the price breaking the fee foundation of the short-term holders (STHs). The STHs refer to the buyers who bought their cash within the past 155 days. As such, the fee foundation of this group represents the break-even stage of the latest consumers of the cryptocurrency.
As the below chart shared by Woo exhibits, Bitcoin fell under the STH value foundation during past bear markets and maintained there, suggesting that the new entrants remained underwater.
As is seen in the graph, Bitcoin also slipped under the STH value foundation alongside the bearish shift in This fall 2025 and since then, it has stayed below this stage, with the hole widening over time.
Historically, the cryptocurrency’s price has damaged back above the STH value foundation at the end of bear markets (as highlighted with circles in the chart). Another factor that has tended to comply with this part shift is recent shopping for from buyers. This second signal provides rise to the third one: a reversal of pattern in the average acquisition stage of the STHs.
From the chart, it’s obvious that the STH value foundation exhibits a downtrend during bear markets. This is a natural outcome of cash altering palms at the decrease bear market ranges, pushing the average break-even stage decrease. As a transition away from a major bearish part happens, buyers start shopping for at increased costs, inflicting the STH value foundation to see an upward reversal.
Under the post, a consumer requested requested Woo to elaborate. To which, the analyst responded with:
Given price is just not even close to the fee foundation of latest buyers, and that value foundation is dropping each day… there’s no level in shopping for until a cross turns into imminent. Bear markets are about persistence.
At the second, the Bitcoin STH value foundation is floating around $81,000, implying that the latest consumers are holding a web unrealized loss of more than 14%. It now stays to be seen how long it is going to be before the cryptocurrency shall be ready to discover a break back above the extent.
BTC Price
Bitcoin ended last week under the $67,000 stage, but the digital asset has kicked back up to start Monday, with its price recovering to $69,500.
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