Dogecoin Bear Market Almost Over? Crypto Analyst | Crypto News
Dogecoin’s drawdown could also be nearer to its late-stage “capitulation” part than a clean backside, according to crypto YouTuber VisionPulsed, who argued in a Feb. 8 video that lingering bullishness across Crypto Twitter and YouTube is itself a signal the market probably hasn’t inflicted enough pain yet.
In his latest Dogecoin-focused update, VisionPulsed framed the setup less as a clean technical inflection and more as a acquainted cycle sample: retail optimism fades slowly, the ultimate washout arrives when even perennial bulls lose their “fight,” and only then does a sturdy low have a tendency to kind.
“More and more people are starting to get bearish and once we finally break this low I think that’s going to be when everyone says it’s bearish but it’s going to be too late because the bottom is probably going to be in soon,” he said. “So, the fact that there’s still people coming on YouTube saying that it’s still bullish, it’s that we haven’t gone down low enough.”
Is The Dogecoin Bear Market Bottom In?
VisionPulsed repeatedly returned to what he called the market’s capability to “run the same play twice in a row,” arguing that the same bearish indicators can persist because each cycle brings a contemporary cohort that resists the concept the transfer is over. He also advised the motivation construction of crypto content can reinforce that dynamic, with creators leaning bullish because it sustains engagement, even as broader circumstances deteriorate.
“The reason I bring all this shenanigans in is because the fact that there’s still people that are still bullish shows why the market can do the same thing over and over again,” he said. “We have the same exact indicators and now instead of me saying we’re bullish, there’s other YouTubers that are still bullish… humans make the same mistakes over and over again.”
On timing, VisionPulsed pointed to momentum instruments — notably the Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin on a number of timeframes (as a signal for all the crypto market), as a information for whether or not any countertrend rally is just a reset before another leg down. He warned against overconfidence in widely cited catalysts such as a CME hole, noting a comparable setup appeared in May 2022, and pressured that rallies repeatedly “fizzle out” when Stoch RSI reaches overbought territory. If the market “plays nice,” he said, it might bounce into overbought ranges and then roll into the next decline; if it doesn’t, a rollover might arrive without the clean overbought tag.
He also argued that capitulation lows often coincide with a narrative shock, what he called a “black swan” headline that merchants later deal with as the trigger, even if the market was already structurally headed decrease. “Before the black swan, look for the black swan,” he said, pointing to past episodes he related with prior lows, including the Terra/Luna collapse. He added that the emotional tone shift is often the inform: “Don’t be surprised if a lot of people say crypto’s over, crypto sucks… When that happens, that’s where the bottom is.”
For Dogecoin particularly, VisionPulsed said historic bottoms have tended to align with RSI reaching oversold circumstances, one thing he argues DOGE has not yet hit in the current downswing. “We’re one more leg down away from hitting oversold,” he said. “So, if I were a betting man, I think the next move down… should take Doge to 5 cents.”
He repeatedly caveated that he’s not calling an precise backside, and allowed for situations where a later macro shock produces a second low, comparable to the COVID-era sample he referenced. Still, his base case was that the correction is “probably almost done,” with a bigger rally anticipated after spring, while floating a a lot longer-dated view that Dogecoin’s “real bull run” might start around July 2027.
For now, his message to DOGE merchants was simple: until momentum resets and sentiment absolutely breaks, the “bear market almost over” narrative could also be untimely and the next decisive transfer may very well be the one that finally forces capitulation.
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.09345.
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