‘Monday Night Football’ best bets, pick…
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The Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs will close out Week 8 of the NFL season on “Monday Night Football” at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs have been rolling these days with back-to-back enormous wins, and the Commanders are reeling after back-to-back losses and the loss of their best participant.
Those components mixed have pushed this unfold to -10.5 for the Chiefs forward of Monday’s primetime recreation.
Commanders vs. Chiefs odds, prediction
The injury to Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels might have dampened the thrill for one facet of this matchup, but there’s loads to be excited about on the Chiefs’ facet of issues.
After a slow start through three video games, Patrick Mahomes and the offense are back to type. The two-time MVP has 11 passing touchdowns and two dashing touchdowns over the past 4 video games, and their three wins in that span have been by a margin of 17 factors against the Ravens, 13 factors against the Lions, and 31 factors against the Raiders.
Mahomes has all of his receivers healthy and accessible now that Rashee Rice has returned to the sphere. Xavier Worthy, who is always a risk for a enormous play, appears to be getting healthy as properly and was a full participant at apply as he nurses an ankle and shoulder injury.
The Chiefs gained’t have lineman Josh Simmons, who stays away from the workforce for a household matter and Trey Smith is uncertain with back spasms, but this workforce has weathered every problem so far this season. I count on the Chiefs to keep rolling and take benefit of the Commanders’ protection through the air.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
Betting on the NFL?
Entering the week, Washington’s passing protection ranked at or close to the underside in a quantity of classes. They permit the most passing yards gained per completion in the NFL (13.0) and the eighth-most passing yards gained per recreation (238.3).
Their protection hasn’t been ready to stop the run either. The Commanders rank twentieth in dashing yards allowed per recreation (126.0) and the protection has given up 400-plus whole yards 3 times in seven video games this season. They will likely be catching the Chiefs as they’re hitting their stride and it might end up being a long evening for the Washington protection.
The Chiefs are beating groups by an average of 14.5 factors at home — barely inflated after the Raiders blowout — but I’ve no curiosity in betting them to cowl a double-digit unfold. I do suppose we’ll see another big recreation from Mahomes, though.
He’s averaging 282.8 passing yards per recreation over his past 4 video games, but his prop is listed as low as 271.5. He has topped that quantity twice in that four-game span and got here just two yards short of that mark against the Ravens.
I count on him to carve up the Commanders Monday evening and hit the over on this prop.
The Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 271.5 passing yards (-115, ESPN BET)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports activities betting industry since 2017. He’s a data nerd with a explicit focus on the NBA and fight sports activities. He spends his weeknights in the winter wanting for edges on plus-money NBA participant props.
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